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ISBN: 0 9506922 5 5
The bulk of the UK arms trade to Saudi
Arabia resulted from the reluctance of the United States to supply the
kingdom. Each tranche of the infamous Al Yamamah deal followed refusals
by Congress to allow large packages of US arms to be sold to Saudi Arabia.
Thatcher’s government, however, had no qualms. The UK stepped eagerly
into the gap, signing Al Yamamah I, the largest ever UK arms contract
with a foreign customer, in 1986, and Al Yamamah II, "the biggest
[UK] sale ever of anything to anyone", in 1988 (Financial Times,
9.7.88). The Al Yamamah sales were a UK endorsement of a country with
a history of brutal repression and a "persistent pattern of gross
human rights abuses" (Amnesty International Report 1999).
The US Congress had well founded fears
about the sense or value of such sales. The Middle East, a notoriously
volatile region, is hardly the ideal destination for UK arms. The arms-to-Iraq
affair highlighted the danger of supplying arms to unstable regimes,
when in the 1991 Gulf War UK and US forces faced an army equipped by
their own military industries. While Saudi Arabia is one of the more
stable countries of the region, it has publicly pledged support for
the Palestinian cause and is known to have sent arms to Iraq through
Jordan. There is also strong evidence that the kingdom funded various
counter-revolutionary movements, including the Taliban in Afghanistan,
and the nuclear programmes of Iraq and Pakistan. There is much to suggest
that Saudi Arabia is not a reliable ally or end-user, and, as the Al
Yamamah deals have Crown Status, there is no legal restriction preventing
further transfer of weapons out of the kingdom.
Despite the lessons of the Gulf War, and
despite the Middle East Arms Control Initiative which followed it, the
UK and the US have continued to supply large quantities of arms to the
region. In 1998, the Middle East remained "by far the largest market"
for complete weapons systems and Saudi Arabia "remained by far
the largest national market for arms" (International Institute
for Strategic Studies, IISS, ‘The Military Balance 1999/2000’). This
influx of arms is not helping the countries of the Middle East. It promotes
an ‘arms race’ mentality and contributes to regional instability. Over
the past fifteen years military spending has consistently been the largest
item on Saudi Arabia’s budget, on average accounting for a third of
all spending per year.
The Saudi budget for 1999 has been described
as an ‘austerity budget’, despite the fact that Saudi Arabia has traditionally
been one of the most affluent countries of the world. This is of no
real surprise when the source of the kingdom’s wealth is considered.
Oil, Saudi Arabia’s sole resource, is intrinsically unreliable as a
source of income - inevitably, the country’s fortunes rise and fall
with fluctuations in the international price of oil. Although the oil
price has now risen again, "few in the industry think it will stay
that high for long" (Business Week, 28.2.00). Commentators describe
the "delicate politico-economic balance" that keeps the monarchy
in power: a significant period of low oil prices could put this balance
in jeopardy, feeding various dissenting bodies within the kingdom (BBC
News Room, 19.1.99). Saudi Arabia’s extraordinary levels of military
spending have contributed to budget deficits that may have the potential
to threaten the stability of a kingdom "not yet in crisis but facing
serious economic and social problems" (The Economist, ‘World in
2000’, 1999).
Saudi Arabia’s dependence on oil is mirrored
by the UK’s dependence on Saudi Arabia as its main customer for military
products. Neil Cooper describes the UK’s "overwhelming reliance"
on Saudi contracts in the early nineties, a reliance which has resulted
in a dangerous "condition of dependency" that has repeatedly
undermined the independence of our government (Cooper 1997, p149). UK
government policy has frequently been dictated by the need to retain
the Saudi market, often eroding public accountability and the integrity
of government institutions.
The benefits to the UK are far less clear
than the ‘Thousands of Jobs Saved’ headlines would have it seem: expert
economic analysis has shown that both the billion-pound Al Yamamah deals
and huge government investment have paid few real dividends. The fact
that the bulk of payment was made in oil under a barter scheme meant
that the Saudis were often behind with payments due to variations in
oil prices; as Treasury official Robin Fellgatt commented, "an
arms sale on credit if someone does not pay up is of no economic benefit,
quite the reverse" (Koorey 1995, p51). Economic benefits which
are, at best, unclear provide little justification for unethical export
policies.
The real profit has most likely been into
the pockets of those who orchestrated the deals. The pervasive scandal
and rumour surrounding Al Yamamah suggest that the motivation behind
supplying the kingdom may have come from those few individuals who directly
benefited from ‘commission’ payments. The Dooley court case in the US
in 1991, the 1994 Granada TV ‘World In Action’ programme, the
allegations concerning Mark Thatcher in 1994, the 1996 Westland memo
on the Saudi dissident Mohammed al Mas’ari, the Rolls Royce court case
in 1997 and the Jonathan Aitken affair, all support suggestions that,
contrary to UK and Saudi law, "commissions are an essential part
of the system" (Times, 12.10.94).
Ever since the signing of Al Yamamah I
there have been repeated media allegations and many demands by politicians
and the public for transparency. However, the government has only launched
one investigation into the corruption associated with the deals, an
internal inquiry with a narrow remit, the findings of which were suppressed.
As Dr Kim Howells, MP for Pontypridd and member of the Public Accounts
Committee (PAC) said, the non-publication of the National Audit Office
(NAO) report was "most unsatisfactory. If we can’t see the report,
and it goes right to the heart of the problem, what does the PAC exist
for?" (Observer, 10.5.92). Martin O’Neill, the then Labour Defence
Spokesman, pledged at the time that a Labour government would re-open
the inquiry, however, the present government has maintained its predecessor’s
refusal to release the NAO report (Independent, 12.3.93).
The Al Yamamah deals are far from the
economic godsend that they have been portrayed as, and have earned the
UK little, if any, real profit. More seriously, they have undermined
our government’s integrity as corruption and human rights issues were
ignored in the rush to export. CAAT continues to campaign for the publication
of the NAO report into Al Yamamah and perhaps, as the deals wind down,
this may be forthcoming, though as yet there is no sign of such a move.
In spite of the arms-to-Iraq debacle, the UK has continued to supply
weapons to Saudi Arabia without end user restrictions regardless of
the risk that UK weapons may again fall into ‘enemy’ hands. As Saudi
Arabia faces serious economic and social problems and arms imports continue
to destabilise the Middle East, it is to be hoped that the UK government
will not push for further contracts.
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